Despite 11 points separating the two sides in the Turkish Super Lig table, we think that Sunday's contest will be close, especially with Gaziantep proving to be a tough nut to crack on home turf.
Konyaspor have also fared better on home soil than on their travels, and with three draws from their six away fixtures, we believe that they will have to settle for another point on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
