SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 38 | 7 | 59 |
| 8 | Fatih Karagumruk | 38 | -5 | 57 |
| 9 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 13 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Besiktas | 38 | 8 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Alanyaspor |
47.42% ( -0.63) | 24.53% ( 0.41) | 28.05% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( -1.67) | 46.49% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( -1.59) | 68.77% ( 1.59) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.92) | 19.68% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.32% ( -1.51) | 51.67% ( 1.51) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.7) | 30.31% ( 0.7) |
