Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
