Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and SPAL.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.
