Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Perugia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
