Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Perugia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Perugia in this match.
