We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Venezia
Hellas will do the double over their neighbours from the lagoon, as their goal threat is just too much for Venezia to handle.
Though a European place will most probably elude them, the hosts are back on an upward trajectory, and they can push forward freely on Sunday due to their visitors' failings in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
