SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
61.62% ( 0.09) | 20.3% ( -0.02) | 18.07% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( 0.01) | 38.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( 0.01) | 60.89% ( -0.01) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( 0.02) | 12.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.42% ( 0.06) | 37.58% ( -0.06) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -0.07) | 34.77% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.49% ( -0.07) | 71.5% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 18.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 15 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 47 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Roma | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Lazio | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 41 |
| 7 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
| 9 | Udinese | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Torino | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Monza | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Empoli | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
| 14 | SassuoloSassuolo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 11 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 23 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 9 |
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