Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
