SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Roma |
35.14% ( -0.11) | 25.53% ( 0.01) | 39.34% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.08) | 48.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -0.08) | 70.35% ( 0.07) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.11) | 26.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.31% ( -0.14) | 61.69% ( 0.13) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.01) | 24.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.5% ( 0.01) | 58.5% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 74 |
| 2 | Lazio | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Roma | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 |
| 7 | Juventus | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 44 |
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 |
| 10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Torino | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 37 |
| 13 | Monza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Empoli | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 19 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 49 | -31 | 15 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 13 |
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