With both teams in relatively good form for a club of their stature, this could be an interesting game. Nevertheless, we feel that Torino will be able to take advantage of playing on familiar territory, potentially edging this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
