Torino will want to take full advantage of playing on familiar territory on Sunday, particularly having moved clear of the relegation zone. However, we cannot back against the visitors, who we are backing to claim their third away victory in succession.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
