MX23RW : Friday, March 17 08:00:32
SM
Forest vs. Newcastle: 11 hrs 59 mins
Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK at Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')

We said: Spezia 1-2 Sassuolo

Confidence will be coursing through the veins of Sassuolo's squad following two commendable results in the space of a week, so their impressive front three should anticipate their trip to the Picco with great relish. Spezia's defensive woes do not seem set to end any time soon, given Thiago Motta's approach so far, and that will cost them again on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
31.93%23.19%44.88%
Both teams to score 63.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53%60.46%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3%57.7%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12%47.88%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 31.93%
    Sassuolo 44.88%
    Draw 23.18%
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.49%
1-0 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.12%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.66%
1-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 44.88%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli26222260164468
2Inter Milan26162847301750
3Lazio26147541192249
4AC Milan26146643331048
5Roma26145735251047
6Atalanta BCAtalanta26126842301242
7Juventus26165544222238
8Torino2610792929037
9Bologna26106103134-336
10Udinese2681173430435
11Fiorentina2697103131034
12Monza2696113136-533
13SassuoloSassuolo2696113440-633
14Empoli26610102334-1128
15Lecce2669112431-727
16Salernitana2668122945-1626
17SpeziaSpezia2659122342-1924
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2647152138-1719
19Cremonese2619162148-2712
20Sampdoria2626181343-3012
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