With just one win between them in six outings, this is a difficult match to call. Both teams have the freedom to push for maximum points, but we feel that it is more likely that they cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
