MX23RW : Monday, March 6 00:33:50
SM
Brentford vs. Fulham: 19 hrs 26 mins
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK at Stadio Olimpico
Roma
3 - 4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')

We said: Roma 0-1 Juventus

There may not be many goals in this encounter at the Olimpico, as Juve are focusing on keeping things solid and hoping for inspiration to strike in this latest phase of Max Allegri's management. A makeshift defence may creak here and there, but the visitors managed to hold Napoli to a draw in midweek and can go one better by beating Roma for the third time in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
30.62%24.9%44.48%
Both teams to score 56.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28%46.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.99%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38%28.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58%64.43%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95%21.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15%53.85%
Score Analysis
    Roma 30.62%
    Juventus 44.48%
    Draw 24.89%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-1 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 4.75%
0-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.48%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25212258164265
2Inter Milan25162746281850
3Lazio25146541192248
4Roma25145632211147
5AC Milan25145642321047
6Atalanta BCAtalanta25126742281442
7Juventus25155540202035
8Bologna2410593133-235
9Udinese2571173330332
10Monza2595113035-532
11Torino248792629-331
12Fiorentina2587102931-231
13Empoli2561092333-1028
14SassuoloSassuolo2476112735-827
15Lecce2569102429-527
16Salernitana2567122844-1625
17SpeziaSpezia2549122141-2021
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2546152037-1718
19Sampdoria2526171139-2812
20Cremonese2419141943-2412
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