Although Genoa's winless run must eventually end, the likelihood of that happening at the Olimpico this week is minimal - even with a number of fresh faces to provide new attacking options.
Roma really must take advantage of a clear opportunity to take three more points on home turf, and their final-third quality will prove the difference on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
