Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Roma had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
