Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
