Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
