MX23RW : Friday, March 10 19:56:37
SM
Friday, March 10
Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK at San Siro
Inter Milan
2 - 0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia

There should be no expectations other than a comfortable home win at San Siro, due to the combination of Inter's fine form and Spezia's calamitous approach to defending. Even if Simone Inzaghi opts to rotate his resources, the quality at his disposal far outweighs his imperiled counterpart, whose reign as boss of the visitors could be coming to an end if their fortunes do not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
82.57%11.2%6.23%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.21%46.8%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.32%4.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.97%19.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97%82.03%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.57%
    Spezia 6.23%
    Draw 11.2%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
3-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.19%
3-1 @ 7.99%
4-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 6.12%
5-0 @ 4.88%
5-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 82.57%
1-1 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 3.01%
0-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.2%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.23%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25212258164265
2Inter Milan25162746281850
3Lazio25146541192248
4Roma25145632211147
5AC Milan25145642321047
6Atalanta BCAtalanta25126742281442
7Juventus25155540202035
8Bologna25105103134-335
9Torino259792729-234
10Udinese2571173330332
11Monza2595113035-532
12Fiorentina2587102931-231
13SassuoloSassuolo2586113037-730
14Empoli2561092333-1028
15Lecce2569102429-527
16Salernitana2567122844-1625
17SpeziaSpezia2549122141-2021
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2546152037-1718
19Sampdoria2526171139-2812
20Cremonese2519152146-2512
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