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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
LL
Inter Milan
2 - 1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio

Free-scoring Inter are strong favourites to belatedly start 2022 in familiar style, as withstanding their attacking width and midfield guile should prove beyond leaky Lazio's capabilities. Unbeaten in their 11 league fixtures since losing the reverse fixture nearly three months ago, the champions can brush off any early rustiness and continue their positive momentum as if they were never away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
71.71%17.13%11.16%
Both teams to score 50.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92%39.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59%61.4%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39%9.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.88%32.12%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.71%
    Lazio 11.16%
    Draw 17.13%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
2-0 @ 11.77%
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 7.41%
4-0 @ 5.38%
4-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.75%
6-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.71%
1-1 @ 8.1%
0-0 @ 4.29%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.13%
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.27%
0-2 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 11.16%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli31253367214678
2Lazio31187649212861
3Juventus31185847262159
4AC Milan32169752381457
5Roma32176944301457
6Atalanta BCAtalanta32167953371655
7Inter Milan311731151341754
8Bologna31128114039144
9Monza32128124043-344
10Udinese321012104240242
11Fiorentina31119113736142
12Torino32119123338-542
13SassuoloSassuolo31117133846-840
14Salernitana31712123750-1333
15Empoli31711132540-1532
16Lecce32710152738-1131
17SpeziaSpezia32512152651-2527
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3168172644-1826
19Cremonese31310182757-3019
20Sampdoria3138202052-3217
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