While Torino have all but sealed their top-flight status for another season, the pressure is on Genoa to claim three valuable points as they bid to steer themselves clear of danger.
A low-scoring affair could be on the cards at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, and even though there is little to separate the two teams, we are backing the hosts to end their 25-game winless run with a slender success on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
