Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.