All things considered, this is a game which Genoa need to win, and we expect them to go all out for three points. However, Empoli will be satisfied with a draw at this stage, and the visitors could do enough to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
