SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
47.06% ( 1.92) | 23.66% ( -0.29) | 29.28% ( -1.63) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( 0.45) | 41.82% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( 0.45) | 64.22% ( -0.45) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( 0.95) | 17.99% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.15% ( 1.61) | 48.85% ( -1.62) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.84) | 27.06% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.57% ( -1.11) | 62.43% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
| 2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
