The fallout from recent events at the Franchi - plus the need to observe a settling period for their new-look front line - could mean that Fiorentina are caught short in an absorbing encounter between two progressive teams.
Though no major signings have been made, Lazio can at least name a settled side - including the likeliest matchwinner: the in-form Immobile.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
