Milan are limping to the finish line in 2021, having started out with dreams of Scudetto glory last January - subsequently dashed by their bitterest rivals - and they could now be taking a similar road heading into the new year.
A lack of attacking thrust has been apparent in recent weeks, and Empoli are more than capable of taking advantage of defensive uncertainty since the devastating injury to Simon Kjaer. Therefore, a point will have to satisfy the visitors before they take stock during the brief winter break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.42%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
