MX23RW : Monday, April 17 21:14:53
SM
Chelsea vs. Real Madrid: 21 hrs 45 mins
Sep 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
66.54%19.41%14.05%
Both teams to score 50.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15%11.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87%37.12%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.59%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 66.53%
    Fiorentina 14.05%
    Draw 19.41%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.36%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.01%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 9.2%
0-0 @ 5%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.41%
0-1 @ 4.32%
1-2 @ 3.97%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.05%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli30243366214575
2Lazio30187549202961
3Roma30175842261656
4AC Milan30158749371253
5Inter Milan301631148341451
6Atalanta BCAtalanta30147948351349
7Juventus30185747252244
8Bologna30128103937244
9Fiorentina30119103533242
10SassuoloSassuolo30117123843-540
11Udinese3091293939039
12Torino30109113136-539
13Monza30108123541-638
14Empoli30711122537-1232
15Salernitana30612123450-1630
16Lecce30610142636-1028
17SpeziaSpezia30511142548-2326
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3058172443-1923
19Cremonese30310172754-2719
20Sampdoria3037201951-3216
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