MX23RW : Saturday, May 13 19:48:16
SM
Saturday, May 13
ML
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
SC
AC Milan
3 - 0
Spezia Calcio
Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSpezia
59.45%21.59%18.96%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.92%43.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52%65.48%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88%14.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24%41.76%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75%73.25%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 59.45%
    Spezia 18.96%
    Draw 21.58%
AC MilanDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.87%
3-1 @ 6.5%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.45%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 5.19%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.96%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli34265370234783
2Juventus34206852282466
3Lazio35198854282665
4Inter Milan342031162352763
5AC Milan351710855411461
6Atalanta BCAtalanta351771156421458
7Roma341771045331258
8Fiorentina341210124540546
9Udinese341113104541446
10Bologna341210124344-146
11Monza341210124245-346
12Torino341210123639-346
13SassuoloSassuolo34128144150-944
14Salernitana35814134356-1338
15Empoli34911143144-1338
16Lecce35711173043-1332
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3479182851-2330
18SpeziaSpezia35612173056-2630
19Cremonese34412183159-2824
RSampdoria3438232061-4117
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