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We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

A rejuvenated Milan were far livelier in midweek, so the opportunity to welcome struggling Salernitana to San Siro presents them with another chance to secure three points to keep their Scudetto challenge ticking over. Goals have been in particularly short supply for the southern side, so the hosts can flood forward without fear of conceding and cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
68.3%18.75%12.94%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02%41.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62%64.38%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16%35.83%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.76%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.29%
    Salernitana 12.94%
    Draw 18.75%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.69%
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 7.08%
4-0 @ 4.65%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.94%
5-0 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 68.29%
1-1 @ 8.9%
0-0 @ 4.9%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 18.75%
0-1 @ 4.07%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.12%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.94%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli26222260164468
2Inter Milan26162847301750
3Lazio26147541192249
4AC Milan26146643331048
5Roma26145735251047
6Atalanta BCAtalanta26126842301242
7Juventus26165544222238
8Torino2610792929037
9Bologna26106103134-336
10Udinese2681173430435
11Fiorentina2697103131034
12Monza2696113136-533
13SassuoloSassuolo2696113440-633
14Empoli26610102334-1128
15Lecce2669112431-727
16Salernitana2668122945-1626
17SpeziaSpezia2659122342-1924
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2647152138-1719
19Sampdoria2626181343-3012
20Cremonese2619162148-2712
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