Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.69%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.86%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
