Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.17%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
