Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.41%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (6.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.18%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
