Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.05%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
