Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
