Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Ponferradina.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 40.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.