Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
