Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 43.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.33) 
