Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
