Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
