Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Amorebieta and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
