Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match.
