MX23RW : Saturday, March 4 18:38:40
SM
PSG vs. Nantes: 1 hr 21 mins

We said: St Johnstone 2-1 Hearts

St Johnstone might be bottom of the league right now, but they head into the match with stronger form, which is something that could provide them with enough confidence to get another result this weekend. Hearts have the stronger squad, which is reflected by the table, but the Jambos have struggled to score goals as of late, and that might make things difficult for them here against a team desperate for points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
22.54%26%51.47%
Both teams to score 46.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49%40.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89%77.11%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94%22.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61%55.39%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 22.54%
    Hearts 51.46%
    Draw 25.99%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.26%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 13.5%
0-2 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-3 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.65%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 51.46%

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Scottish Premiership Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic26241182186473
2RangersRangers27214264244067
3Hearts27136848371145
4Hibernian27124114339440
5St Mirren27107102936-737
6Aberdeen27112144051-1135
7Livingston27105122842-1435
8St Johnstone2894153247-1531
9Motherwell2886143440-630
10Ross County2866162441-1724
11Kilmarnock2866162350-2724
12Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2655162749-2220
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