Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
