SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dundee United | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 38 | -4 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rangers | 38 | 49 | 89 |
| 3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
30.27% ( 5.03) | 24.86% ( 0.83) | 44.88% ( -5.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -0.29) | 46.7% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -0.27) | 68.97% ( 0.27) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 3.61) | 28.85% ( -3.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.29% ( 4.27) | 64.71% ( -4.27) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -2.55) | 20.87% ( 2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.44% ( -4.15) | 53.56% ( 4.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.9)2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.89)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 7.39% ( -1.17)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.65)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.99)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.43)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.54)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Motherwell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | RangersRangers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Ross County | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Hearts | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
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