In a game between two sides who have vastly underperformed by their own standards this season, we cannot quite pick a winner at Easter Road.
Hibernian have a badly hit squad and come in on the back of a disappointing defeat, while Aberdeen only just saw off the league's basement side last time out, and we opt for a low-scoring draw in a cagey affair as a result.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
