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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Dens Park
HL
Dundee
0 - 1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')

We said: Dundee 1-2 Hearts

The form of Hearts has been hit and miss as of late, but on paper, they do have a stronger squad heading into this fixture, which does make them the favourites. Dundee are fighting for their survival in the SPL and certainly will not go down easily in this match, but this is one that the Jam Tarts should be able to see out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
DundeeDrawHearts
27.58%26.07%46.35%
Both teams to score 50.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.86%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33%56.67%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 27.58%
    Hearts 46.35%
    Draw 26.06%
DundeeDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.58%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.35%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1210202872132
2RangersRangers118032461824
3St Mirren105321612418
4Kilmarnock124441514116
5Hearts114251011-114
6Aberdeen103341414012
7Hibernian112541518-311
8Motherwell113261217-511
9Dundee10253915-611
10Ross County112451120-910
11Livingston11245918-910
12St Johnstone10145516-117
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