MX23RW : Thursday, February 2 00:21:10
SM
Thursday, February 2
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK at Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen
4 - 1
St Mirren
Watkins (7', 43'), Ramirez (9', 71')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tanser (42')
Tanser (89')

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren

There is little to separate the two teams in the league at the moment and that is something that will likely be reflected in this fixture. However, with the Buddies lacking in confidence due to their poor form as of late, this could be an opportunity for Aberdeen to earn another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
46.53%25.92%27.55%
Both teams to score 51.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82%56.18%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44%70.56%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 46.53%
    St Mirren 27.55%
    Draw 25.92%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.55%

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Scottish Premiership Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic24221174175767
2RangersRangers24184256223458
3Hearts2411674234839
4St Mirren239682632-633
5Livingston239592433-932
6Hibernian2494113638-231
7Aberdeen2492133646-1029
8St Johnstone2483132838-1027
9Kilmarnock2465132041-2123
10Ross County2456131936-1721
11Motherwell2355132635-920
12Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2355132540-1520
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