Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
