Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Dunfermline Athletic.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.